Photovoltaic (PV) monitoring is commonly performed through individual system indicators such as Performance
Ratio (PR). Although useful, these indicators often identify faults only after measurable performance degradation has
already occurred. Drone-based visual and thermal inspection can provide physical diagnosis but it is periodic not
continuous. We propose an information-theoretic framework for early-warning monitoring of co-located PV systems
using Transfer Entropy (TE). Instead of treating each PV system as an isolated unit, the proposed approach models a
solar facility as a directed network of interacting time series. Three years of 5-minute resolution data from the Desert
Knowledge Australia Solar Centre (DKASC) in Alice Springs were analyzed which covers 12 co-located PV systems
and 43,044 clean daytime observations from 2019 to 2021. TE was compared with Pearson correlation and Mutual
Information (MI) as symmetric baseline measures. Results show that all 132 directed system pairs exhibit significant
TE, with values ranging from 0.029 to 0.139 bits and a 4.7× spread in information-flow strength. The TE network
reveals identifiable source-sink behavior, with M1_A, M7_A, and M2_C acting as dominant sources and M4_A and
M5_A acting as dominant sinks. Fault-adjacent periods show significantly higher TE than normal periods, with mean
TE increasing from 0.0772 to 0.0945 bits (approximately 22%). Welch’s t-test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS)
test confirm statistical significance. Early-warning case studies further suggest that TE may rise before visible PR
degradation, supporting its potential for risk-aware PV monitoring, predictive maintenance, and inspection planning.