Identifying the actual time of a change brings a decrease in time range of searching for assignable causes
leading to less cost. In this paper, the maximum likelihood approach is developed to estimate sporadic change point for
the mean of a polynomial profile in Phase II which has not been performed yet in the literature. Estimation of the process
parameters for the samples after the change point is carried out using filtering and smoothing estimation methods of
dynamic linear models. The proposed procedures are applied after receiving an out-of-control signal from T 2 control chart.
The performance of the proposed change point estimators is also compared to the step and drift estimators' performance
under sporadic change in the process mean. Simulation results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed methods in
estimating sporadic change point.
Estimating sporadic change point in the mean of polynomial profiles
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