This paper presents a method for the capacity planning of a manufacturing system subject to significant uncertainty, both in the demand and in the process. The uncertainty is modeled using phase-type distributions. By fitting this type of distributions to the empirical data, we can model the system as a Markov chain in other to estimate the system performance measures for each given system configuration. Evaluating different system configurations we obtain the estimated trade-off functions relating performance with capacity. Using these functions we select using a mathematical program the appropriated capacity, taking into account the system objectives. The method is applied to a real case following a make-to-order job flow policy. The problem is this case is how to decide on the utilization of the two different resources available for a given lead-time. The solution obtained with the method proposed is compared with the deterministic approach solution.
Track: Manufacturing and Design
Published in: 5th Annual International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Publisher: IEOM Society International
Date of Conference: March 3
-5
, 2015
ISBN: 978-0-9855497-2-5
ISSN/E-ISSN: 2169-8767