Diabetes is becoming an epidemic in India. This chronic disease needs immediate attention of policy makers to control the causalities resulting from it. The deaths due to diabetes are always under reported because people generally die due to involved complications like cardiovascular disease, infections and kidney failures. Moreover, the people from lower income families generally die without proper medical care and their death goes unreported. The research work tries to forecast the number of patients and deaths due to diabetes in India by 2025 and the infrastructure required to handle the situation. The methodology used in the research work is System Dynamics Modeling. The paper will contribute in understanding the capacity needs in terms of the number of beds and doctors required in the year 2025, for management of this chronic disease. It will also help the policy makers in capacity planning for diabetes management in India.
Keywords— Diabetes, Capacity Planning, System Dynamics, Forecasting