Track: Systems Dynamics

Abstract

The growth of the urban population has permanently increased the demand for products. Likewise, the maturation of electronic commerce has increased urban freight transport, which has brought negative externalities such as emissions, pollution, noise, congestion, and loss of habitat. There is a visible effort to make urban last-mile deliveries more sustainable, mainly in environmental aspects. This is the reason for an interest in replacing conventional vehicles with electric vehicles, but this replacement has a series of conditions. The objective of this document is to systematically analyze the electrification of last-mile freight transport. From the review of the state of the art, affirmations were identified that allowed to establish cause and effect relationships between different attributes of the system that is represented, in such a way that, a causal diagram was obtained that systemically expresses the studied situation. As a result, we identify that social dissatisfaction because of particulate matter emissions generates social pressure that promotes incentives for the electrification of last-mile transportation and generates an increase in the sales of electric vehicles, thus reducing the sales of conventional vehicles.The growth of the urban population has permanently increased the demand for products. Likewise, the maturation of electronic commerce has increased urban freight transport, which has brought negative externalities such as emissions, pollution, noise, congestion, and loss of habitat. There is a visible effort to make urban last-mile deliveries more sustainable, mainly in environmental aspects. This is the reason for an interest in replacing conventional vehicles with electric vehicles, but this replacement has a series of conditions. The objective of this document is to systematically analyze the electrification of last-mile freight transport. From the review of the state of the art, affirmations were identified that allowed to establish cause and effect relationships between different attributes of the system that is represented, in such a way that, a causal diagram was obtained that systemically expresses the studied situation. As a result, we identify that social dissatisfaction because of particulate matter emissions generates social pressure that promotes incentives for the electrification of last-mile transportation and generates an increase in the sales of electric vehicles, thus reducing the sales of conventional vehicles.