6th European International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management

Economic Optimization of the Inspection Period for Sensors with Hidden Failures: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach

Ricardo Mateus, Rui Assis, João Antunes Rodrigues & Pedro Carmona Marques
Publisher: IEOM Society International
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Track: Reliability and Maintenance

Failure of critical industrial equipment can have high stake negative impacts for industrial operations. Systematic preventive maintenance is a widely used technique to assess the condition of such equipment, including its potential failure. However, carrying out regular shutdowns on a critical equipment for inspections incur costs and potential production losses during the downtime period. Consequently, detection devices, such as sensors, are often used for monitoring the condition of critical equipment. These sensors can issue early warnings upon the occurrence of functional failures in the protected equipment or even anticipate potential failures. Promptly action can then be carried out to repair or replace the failed critical equipment to mitigate its consequences.

Failure detection sensors are not immune to their own failures though. Sometimes, the functional failure of the sensor is immediately detected, other times it remains hidden and goes unnoticed until it manifests through more serious consequences, such as a breakdown in the protected equipment, which can lead to long recovery times and significant repair costs. Therefore, it is essential to periodically inspect the proper functioning of condition monitoring sensors to uncover any hidden failures, namely through in-place or laboratory testing.

This study presents an economic optimization approach, using a discrete-event Monte Carlo simulation method implemented in a Microsoft Excel application, to determine the optimal inspection periodicity for sensors subject to hidden failures.

Each simulation run computes the equivalent uniform periodic cost for any inspection period for the sensor, considering the following inputs: inspection cost and time, probability distributions for failure times of the equipment and sensor, repair costs and times, and the reactivation cost and time following a system failure. From these inputs, the optimal inspection period is determined by running multiple simulations for varying regular inspection periods and selecting as optimal the one that minimizes the expected equivalent uniform periodic cost of the system.

The approach was developed specifically for the major Portuguese electric utilities company, replacing previously used empirical formulas that did not factor in economic costs. The application of the methodology is supported by a user-friendly interface implemented in Microsoft Excel and Visual Basic for Applications and illustrated through a case study. The decision support system facilitates the selection of the economically optimal inspection period for the sensor based on its expected equivalent uniform periodic cost. Furthermore, it provides additional descriptive statistics on the expected performance of the system, including availability and reliability metrics. The optimization-simulation approach presented in this article provides significant advantages over common analytical methods, which often rely on unrealistic simplifying assumptions, particularly for modeling complex maintenance systems. Overall, it proves to be a valuable contribution to the maintenance literature for making informed decisions regarding the definition of regular inspection periods for sensors with hidden failures while monitoring the condition of critical industrial equipment.

Published in: 6th European International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, Lisbon, Portugal

Publisher: IEOM Society International
Date of Conference: July 18-20, 2023

ISBN: 979-8-3507-0547-8
ISSN/E-ISSN: 2169-8767